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AFK Vilnius vs Pempininkai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Anulis E.
28' Event
Bieksa H.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Svedas K.

AI Match Summary

AFK Vilnius in this Lithuanian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AFK Vilnius
15%
Draws
53%
Pempininkai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pempininkai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pempininkai at 1.67 per game, AFK Vilnius at 1.
  • Win probability leans Pempininkai's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor AFK Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 63.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AFK Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Pempininkai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFK Vilnius Pempininkai
Matches Played 5 3
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.8 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
AFK Vilnius vs Pempininkai
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFK Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Svedas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osetrovas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Pempininkai Compare

Top Goalscorer Anulis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudauskas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.48
Avg xA / game 1.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFK Vilnius 10 / 100
Pempininkai 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFK Vilnius Pempininkai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pempininkai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pempininkai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AFK Vilnius scored in 40% of their last 5 outings.

AFK Vilnius has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFK Vilnius VS Pempininkai
1 Goals Scored 1.67
3.8 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
60% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

AFK Vilnius

(Home)
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
0 : 3
Garliava
20 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
FK Babrungas
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
07 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
Zalgiris

Pempininkai

(Away)
19 May
Pempininkai
1 : 4
FK Minija
21 Apr
Pempininkai
2 : 1
Sirijus
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius 4
Pempininkai 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Babrungas 2
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Minija 3
FK Cementininkas 2
Dziugas Telsiai 3
Sirijus 0
Transinvest 5
VGTU Vilkai 0
FC Hegelmann 6
FK Atmosfera 0
Banga 2
Riteriai 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 0
Zalgiris 6
Neptunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Utenis 1
Tauras Taurage 5
Vilnius FA 0
Suduva 4
Kazlu Ruda 1
BE1 NFA 0
Klaipedos FM 2
Jonava 3
Garliava 1
Ekranas 0
Trivartis Vilnius 0
FK Panevezys 13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius 0
FK Babrungas 6
FK Minija 0
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Transinvest 0
FC Hegelmann 1
Banga 0
FA Siauliai 1
Zalgiris 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Tauras Taurage 1
Suduva 3
Kazlu Ruda 1
Jonava 4
Garliava 0
FK Panevezys 3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FC Hegelmann 3
FA Siauliai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Suduva 2
Jonava 1
FK Panevezys 4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Suduva 0
FK Panevezys 2
Final
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 1