Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFK Vilnius vs Pempininkai

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Anulis E.
28' Event
Bieksa H.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Svedas K.

AI Match Summary

AFK Vilnius in this Lithuanian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
AFK Vilnius
6%
Draws
90%
Pempininkai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pempininkai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Pempininkai at 1.67 per game, AFK Vilnius at 1.
  • Win probability leans Pempininkai's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor AFK Vilnius, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 63.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AFK Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
Pempininkai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFK Vilnius Pempininkai
Matches Played 5 3
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.8 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.80 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
AFK Vilnius vs Pempininkai
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFK Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Svedas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osetrovas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pempininkai Compare

Top Goalscorer Anulis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gudauskas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFK Vilnius 10 / 100
Pempininkai 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFK Vilnius Pempininkai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pempininkai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AFK Vilnius scored in 40% of their last 5 outings.

AFK Vilnius has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFK Vilnius VS Pempininkai
1 Goals Scored 1.67
3.8 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
60% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

AFK Vilnius

(Home)
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
0 : 3
Garliava
20 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
FK Babrungas
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
07 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
Zalgiris

Pempininkai

(Away)
19 May
Pempininkai
1 : 4
FK Minija
21 Apr
Pempininkai
2 : 1
Sirijus
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius4
Pempininkai2
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Babrungas2
Nevezis Kedainiai1
FK Minija3
FK Cementininkas2
Dziugas Telsiai3
Sirijus0
Transinvest5
VGTU Vilkai0
FC Hegelmann6
FK Atmosfera0
Banga2
Riteriai1
FA Siauliai2
Dainava Alytus0
Zalgiris6
Neptunas0
FK Kauno Zalgiris1
Utenis1
Tauras Taurage5
Vilnius FA0
Suduva4
Kazlu Ruda1
BE1 NFA0
Klaipedos FM2
Jonava3
Garliava1
Ekranas0
Trivartis Vilnius0
FK Panevezys13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius0
FK Babrungas6
FK Minija0
Dziugas Telsiai1
Transinvest0
FC Hegelmann1
Banga0
FA Siauliai1
Zalgiris2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Tauras Taurage1
Suduva3
Kazlu Ruda1
Jonava4
Garliava0
FK Panevezys3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas1
Dziugas Telsiai2
FC Hegelmann3
FA Siauliai1
FK Kauno Zalgiris0
Suduva2
Jonava1
FK Panevezys4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai1
FC Hegelmann2
Suduva0
FK Panevezys2
Final
FC Hegelmann0
FK Panevezys1