Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFK Vilnius vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2023
AFK Vilnius Logo

AFK Vilnius

0 - 6
FT
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bingelis V.
Own Goal
5' Event
Vilhjalmsson A.
13' Event
Vilhjalmsson A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this Lithuanian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 0-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AFK Vilnius
15%
Draws
65%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • AFK Vilnius haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Zalgiris taking it.
  • Zalgiris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zalgiris, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AFK Vilnius Clean Sheet 14%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFK Vilnius Zalgiris
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1 1.83
Goals Conceded 3.8 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Lithuanian Cup
AFK Vilnius vs Zalgiris
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFK Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Vilhjalmsson A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFK Vilnius 10 / 100
Zalgiris 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFK Vilnius Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Zalgiris let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

AFK Vilnius scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

AFK Vilnius has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zalgiris
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFK Vilnius

(Home)
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
0 : 3
Garliava
20 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
FK Babrungas
29 Apr
AFK Vilnius
4 : 2
Pempininkai
05 May
AFK Vilnius
1 : 2
Klaipedos FM
07 May
AFK Vilnius
0 : 6
Zalgiris

Zalgiris

(Away)
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Trivartis Vilnius 0
Navigatoriai Vilnius 8
Transinvest 5
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
Vova Vilnius 0
Marijampole City 3
FK Babrungas 0
Banga 3
Granitas Vilnius 1
Viltis Vilnius 2
Silute 0
Dziugas Telsiai 5
Neptunas 2
FK Panevezys 1
Ukmerge 0
Suduva 3
Garliava 1
BE1 NFA 2
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 1
FK Atmosfera 0
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 0
Riteriai 9
Klaipedos FM 3
Jonava 0
Fortuna Kaunas 0
BFA Vilnius 6
FK Dembava 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 6
AFK Vilnius 0
Zalgiris 6
1/8-finals
Navigatoriai Vilnius 0
Transinvest 3
Marijampole City 1
Banga 4
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dziugas Telsiai 6
Neptunas 0
Suduva 2
BE1 NFA 0
FA Siauliai 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Riteriai 3
Klaipedos FM 1
BFA Vilnius 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Zalgiris 0
Quarter-finals
Transinvest 2
Banga 1
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Suduva 0
FA Siauliai 2
Riteriai 0
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 5
Semi-finals
Transinvest 1
Dziugas Telsiai 0
FA Siauliai 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Final
Transinvest 2
FA Siauliai 1