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Afogadense vs Academica Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Afogadense Logo

Afogadense

2 - 2
FT
Academica Vitoria Logo

Academica Vitoria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Afogadense
15%
Draws
21%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Afogadense haven't matched Academica Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • Afogadense are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Academica Vitoria
2:2
Jul 18, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Afogadense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 76 / 100
Academica Vitoria 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Academica Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afogadense scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Academica Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Afogadense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Academica Vitoria
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
Page 1 of 6

Academica Vitoria

(Away)
31 Jan
Academica Vitoria
2 : 3
Nautico
28 Jan
Decisao
0 : 4
Academica Vitoria
24 Jan
Sport Recife
3 : 0
Academica Vitoria
21 Jan
Academica Vitoria
0 : 2
Maguary
17 Jan
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)