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Afogadense vs Pesqueira

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Afogadense Logo

Afogadense

2 - 0
FT
Pesqueira Logo

Pesqueira

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2012 game between Afogadense and Pesqueira finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogadense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Afogadense
30%
Draws
28%
Pesqueira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afogadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afogadense come out ahead of Pesqueira on wins alone.
  • Afogadense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 20%
Pesqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogadense Pesqueira
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.71 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Pesqueira
2:0
Aug 1, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Pesqueira vs Afogadense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogadense 58 / 100
Pesqueira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogadense Pesqueira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afogadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogadense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pesqueira let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Afogadense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pesqueira
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogadense

(Home)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
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Pesqueira

(Away)
02 Nov
Pesqueira
0 : 0
Sete de Setembro (PE)
27 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 0
Pesqueira
20 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
1º de Maio
13 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
Aguia FC
09 Oct
Cha Grande
0 : 1
Pesqueira
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)