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Stadium Background

Afogados da Ingazeira vs Decisao

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Afogados da Ingazeira and Decisao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Afogados da Ingazeira
35%
Draws
37%
Decisao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Decisao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Decisao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Afogados da Ingazeira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Afogados da Ingazeira have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 20%
Decisao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Decisao
Matches Played 33 47
Wins 15 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:1
Oct 18, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Decisao
2:0
Jan 26, 2020 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 36 / 100
Decisao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Decisao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Decisao conceded in 74% of 47 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Afogados da Ingazeira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Decisao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afogados da Ingazeira

(Home)
22 Feb
Jaguar
1 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
15 Feb
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Maguary
09 Feb
Nautico
4 : 0
Afogados da Ingazeira
05 Feb
Decisao
1 : 1
Afogados da Ingazeira
29 Jan
Afogados da Ingazeira
1 : 1
Central SC
Page 1 of 7

Decisao

(Away)
14 Jun
Lagarto
1 : 0
Decisao
06 Jun
Decisao
1 : 1
Treze PB
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
24 May
Decisao
0 : 1
Serra Branca
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afogados da Ingazeira 11 10 1 0 28:4 31
2 Academica Vitoria 11 9 0 2 36:10 27
3 Flamengo Arcoverde 11 9 0 2 27:8 27
4 Decisao 11 7 0 4 16:10 21
5 Vera Cruz 11 6 2 3 31:19 20
6 Ibis Sport Club 11 4 3 4 19:23 15
7 Atletico Torres 11 4 1 6 14:17 13
8 Jaguar 11 3 1 7 13:24 10
9 Atletico PE 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
10 Centro Limoeirense 11 2 1 8 10:26 7
11 1º de Maio 11 1 2 8 11:31 5
12 Ferroviario do Cabo 11 1 2 8 9:37 5
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)