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Afogados da Ingazeira vs Decisao

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Afogados da Ingazeira and Decisao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Afogados da Ingazeira
30%
Draws
34%
Decisao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Afogados da Ingazeira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Afogados da Ingazeira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Afogados da Ingazeira have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 20%
Decisao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afogados da Ingazeira Decisao
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2025 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:1
Oct 18, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Decisao
2:0
Jan 26, 2020 Pernambucano
Decisao vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 36 / 100
Decisao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afogados da Ingazeira Decisao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Decisao conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Afogados da Ingazeira found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Afogados da Ingazeira stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Decisao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375