Sport Picks

Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023

Ferroviario do Cabo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira play Ferroviario do Cabo in the Pernambucano 2 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Afogados da Ingazeira averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Ferroviario do Cabo averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Afogados da Ingazeira won 2, Ferroviario do Cabo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 1, 2023 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Afogados da Ingazeira and 1.69 for Ferroviario do Cabo. This points to a Afogados da Ingazeira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Afogados da Ingazeira

28%

Draws

22%

Ferroviario do Cabo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Afogados da Ingazeira picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviario do Cabo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 13%

Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Afogados da Ingazeira	Ferroviario do Cabo
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	6
Draws	8	9
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.48	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.29	2.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Pernambucano 2

Afogados da Ingazeira vs Ferroviario do Cabo

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Oct 29, 2016 Pernambucano 2

Afogados da Ingazeira vs Ferroviario do Cabo

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afogados da Ingazeira 48 / 100

Ferroviario do Cabo 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Afogados da Ingazeira Ferroviario do Cabo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Afogados da Ingazeira or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Afogados da Ingazeira attacking → ← attacking Ferroviario do Cabo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Ferroviario do Cabo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Afogados da Ingazeira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario do Cabo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 27

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Afogados da Ingazeira	11	10	1	0	28:4	31
2	Academica Vitoria	11	9	0	2	36:10	27
3	Flamengo Arcoverde	11	9	0	2	27:8	27
4	Decisao	11	7	0	4	16:10	21
5	Vera Cruz	11	6	2	3	31:19	20
6	Ibis Sport Club	11	4	3	4	19:23	15
7	Atletico Torres	11	4	1	6	14:17	13
8	Jaguar	11	3	1	7	13:24	10
9	Atletico PE	11	2	3	6	10:15	9
10	Centro Limoeirense	11	2	1	8	10:26	7
11	1º de Maio	11	1	2	8	11:31	5
12	Ferroviario do Cabo	11	1	2	8	9:37	5