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Afragolese vs Ossese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Limongelli Y.
11' Event
Tapparello B.

AI Match Summary

Ossese in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ossese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Afragolese
35%
Draws
40%
Ossese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ossese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afragolese lately — more wins on the board than Ossese.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 16%
Ossese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afragolese Ossese
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 8 3
Draws 12 2
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Afragolese vs Ossese
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afragolese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ossese Compare

Top Goalscorer Limongelli Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tapparello B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afragolese 36 / 100
Ossese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afragolese Ossese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ossese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Afragolese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Afragolese found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Ossese let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Scoring Trends

Afragolese VS Ossese
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afragolese

(Home)
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

Ossese

(Away)
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Unipomezia
2 : 0
Ossese
16 Sept
Ossese
1 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
12 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
0 : 1
Ossese
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)