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AFS vs Paredes

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paredes in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
AFS
20%
Draws
48%
Paredes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • AFS haven't matched Paredes's recent run of results.
  • Paredes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AFS Clean Sheet 12%
Paredes Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFS Paredes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
AFS vs Paredes
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFS 27 / 100
Paredes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFS Paredes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

AFS's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Paredes conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: AFS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFS VS Paredes
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFS

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
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Paredes

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1
Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3
Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2
Leca
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