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AFS vs SC Farense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Roni In: Hiago Santos
Out: Roni
51'
Mateus Pivo
54'
Sub
Mateus Pivo In: Brasido D.
Out: Mateus Pivo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AFS
35%
Draws
32%
SC Farense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • SC Farense have won more games recently than AFS.
  • AFS are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AFS Clean Sheet 20%
SC Farense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFS SC Farense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
AFS vs SC Farense
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga Portugal
SC Farense vs AFS
0:1
Sep 30, 2024 Liga Portugal
AFS vs SC Farense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFS 36 / 100
SC Farense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFS SC Farense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFS's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

SC Farense has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: AFS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

AFS VS SC Farense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFS

(Home)
20 Sept
Sintrense
0 : 2
AFS
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
07 Sept
Lusitania FC
2 : 1
AFS
30 Aug
AFS
2 : 0
Feirense
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
Page 1 of 6

SC Farense

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Farense
4 : 0
Chaves
20 Sept
Sacavenense
0 : 1
SC Farense
13 Sept
AFS
0 : 0
SC Farense
30 Aug
Sporting CP B
2 : 1
SC Farense
24 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 1
FC Felgueiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
7 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
8 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
10 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)