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Afturelding vs Fylkir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kooistra B.
21'
Tyrfingsson G.
22' Event
Hoti A.
Assist: Saevarsson A.

AI Match Summary

Afturelding in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Afturelding
15%
Draws
37%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fylkir haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Afturelding taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 12%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Fylkir
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.93 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Afturelding
3:3
Jul 21, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Fylkir vs Afturelding
1:2
May 31, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Fylkir
5:1
Sep 2, 2022 Division 1
Afturelding vs Fylkir
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 Division 1
Fylkir vs Afturelding
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoti A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bjarkason O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyrfingsson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 47 / 100
Fylkir 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Fylkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afturelding scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Fylkir conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Afturelding went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Fylkir
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

Fylkir

(Away)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)