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Afturelding vs Njardvik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Johannsson V.
46'
Sub
Johannsson V. In: Fernandes L.
Out: Johannsson V.
56'
Kooistra B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Afturelding and Njardvik finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Afturelding
15%
Draws
34%
Njardvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Afturelding carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Afturelding here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 12%
Njardvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Njardvik
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.93 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1
Njardvik vs Afturelding
2:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Njardvik
2:0
May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Afturelding vs Njardvik
5:2
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Njardvik
4:1
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1
Njardvik vs Afturelding
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Holtan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saevarsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Njardvik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 83 / 100
Njardvik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Njardvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afturelding scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Njardvik has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Afturelding has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Njardvik
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

Njardvik

(Away)
13 Sept
Throttur
2 : 1
Njardvik
09 Sept
Njardvik
0 : 1
Throttur
05 Sept
Njardvik
2 : 1
Afturelding
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Njardvik
4 : 0
Volsungur
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)