Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afturelding vs Njardvik

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Johannsson V.
46'
Sub
Johannsson V. In: Fernandes L.
Out: Johannsson V.
56'
Kooistra B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Afturelding and Njardvik finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Afturelding
15%
Draws
46%
Njardvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Njardvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Afturelding carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Njardvik a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Afturelding here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 12%
Njardvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Njardvik
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.74 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Njardvik
2:0
May 13, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Afturelding vs Njardvik
5:2
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Njardvik
4:1
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1
Njardvik vs Afturelding
2:5
Aug 20, 2023 Division 1
Njardvik vs Afturelding
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Holtan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saevarsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Njardvik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 22 / 100
Njardvik 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Njardvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Njardvik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Afturelding scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Njardvik has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Afturelding has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Njardvik
3.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
13 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 3
Afturelding
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1
Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
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Njardvik

(Away)
13 Aug
Grotta
1 : 4
Njardvik
08 Aug
Njardvik
3 : 1
Vestri
28 Jul
Aegir
0 : 1
Njardvik
24 Jul
Njardvik
3 : 2
Kopavogur
17 Jul
Fylkir
4 : 1
Njardvik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Throttur 19 11 4 4 41:20 37
2 Afturelding 18 11 3 4 53:31 36
3 Fylkir 19 11 1 7 39:32 34
4 Kopavogur 19 10 2 7 44:35 32
5 Njardvik 19 10 2 7 32:26 32
6 Grotta 18 8 3 7 34:33 27
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 19 7 4 8 30:28 25
8 Vestri 19 7 3 9 28:39 24
9 IR Reykjavik 19 6 4 9 33:40 22
10 Grindavik 19 4 9 6 19:25 21
11 Volsungur 19 5 5 9 27:39 20
12 Aegir 19 2 2 15 22:54 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)