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Afturelding vs Throttur

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cogic E.
Assist: Holtan J.
25'
Sub
Andresson A. In: Sigmarsson G.
Out: Andresson A.
25'
Sub
Ingason A. In: Hinriksson O.
Out: Ingason A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Afturelding and Throttur finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afturelding
6%
Draws
4%
Throttur
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Throttur haven't matched Afturelding's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Afturelding taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Afturelding have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 13%
Throttur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Throttur
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 3.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
4:3
Aug 19, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
1:0
Jun 13, 2024 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
1:2
Sep 16, 2023 Division 1
Throttur vs Afturelding
2:1
Jul 12, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Throttur
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Cogic E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kooistra B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Throttur Compare

Top Goalscorer Larusson S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kristjansson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 84 / 100
Throttur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Throttur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Throttur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Afturelding has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Throttur
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afturelding1391340:1928
2Throttur1373326:1424
3Fylkir1280423:1724
4Kopavogur1371525:2322
5Vestri1363422:2021
6Njardvik1362519:1520
7Leiknir Reykjavik1354417:1619
8Grotta1261522:2519
9IR Reykjavik1333724:3112
10Grindavik1217413:1710
11Volsungur1315717:338
12Aegir14221018:368