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Afturelding vs Vestri

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Varmárvöllur, Mosfellsbaer
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afturelding host Vestri in the Division 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Afturelding have averaged 3 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Vestri's 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Afturelding have won 0 to Vestri's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (3.31 - 1.38) back Afturelding to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Afturelding
30%
Draws
23%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afturelding lately — more wins on the board than Vestri.
  • Model gives Afturelding a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 17%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afturelding Vestri
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 18 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 3 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Afturelding
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Vestri
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Afturelding vs Vestri
1:1
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Vestri vs Afturelding
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Afturelding
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afturelding 84 / 100
Vestri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afturelding Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afturelding Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afturelding found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Vestri has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Afturelding stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afturelding VS Vestri
3.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afturelding

(Home)
21 Aug
Aegir
0 : 7
Afturelding
17 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 2
Kopavogur
13 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 3
Afturelding
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1
Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
Page 1 of 6

Vestri

(Away)
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
08 Aug
Njardvik
3 : 1
Vestri
03 Aug
Vestri
0 : 3
Grotta
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1
RFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 19 12 3 4 60:31 39
2 Throttur 19 11 4 4 41:20 37
3 Fylkir 19 11 1 7 39:32 34
4 Kopavogur 19 10 2 7 44:35 32
5 Njardvik 19 10 2 7 32:26 32
6 Grotta 19 8 3 8 35:36 27
7 Leiknir Reykjavik 19 7 4 8 30:28 25
8 IR Reykjavik 20 7 4 9 36:41 25
9 Vestri 19 7 3 9 28:39 24
10 Grindavik 19 4 9 6 19:25 21
11 Volsungur 19 5 5 9 27:39 20
12 Aegir 20 2 2 16 22:61 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)