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Afumati vs CSM Satu Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Comunal Afumati, Afumati
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Vida K.
33' Event
Fatai K.
46'
Sub
Carpa G. In: Gergely A.
Out: Carpa G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025/2026 game between Afumati and CSM Satu Mare finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Satu Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Afumati
35%
Draws
14%
CSM Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Afumati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Afumati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Afumati are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CSM Satu Mare have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Afumati Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afumati CSM Satu Mare
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Afumati
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 2
Afumati vs CSM Satu Mare
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Afumati
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afumati Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatai K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbala K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afumati 85 / 100
CSM Satu Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afumati CSM Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afumati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afumati's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CSM Satu Mare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Afumati went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Afumati VS CSM Satu Mare
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afumati

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Afumati
2 : 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
29 Aug
Afumati
2 : 1
Unirea Slobozia
23 Aug
Selimbar
1 : 1
Afumati
Page 1 of 6

CSM Satu Mare

(Away)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
22 Aug
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 0
FC Bihor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)