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Afumati vs Targu Mures

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2017/2018
Sat, May 5, 2018
3 - 0
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afumati host Targu Mures in the Liga 2 2017/2018. Afumati are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Afumati at 1.72 goals for, 1.25 against; Targu Mures at 0.72 for, 2.62 against. Past meetings favor Afumati slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2018, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.13) point toward Afumati. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Afumati
20%
Draws
0%
Targu Mures
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afumati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afumati come out ahead of Targu Mures on wins alone.
  • Afumati are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Afumati Clean Sheet 20%
Targu Mures Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afumati Targu Mures
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.72 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Liga 2
Afumati vs Targu Mures
3:0
Oct 28, 2017 Liga 2
Targu Mures vs Afumati
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afumati 85 / 100
Targu Mures 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afumati Targu Mures

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afumati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Targu Mures has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Afumati remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Targu Mures has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Afumati scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afumati VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Afumati

(Home)
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Afumati
2 : 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
29 Aug
Afumati
2 : 1
Unirea Slobozia
23 Aug
Selimbar
1 : 1
Afumati
Page 1 of 7

Targu Mures

(Away)
02 Jun
Targu Mures
0 : 3
Politehnica Timisoara
26 May
Pandurii
3 : 0
Targu Mures
19 May
Targu Mures
0 : 3
FC UTA Arad
12 May
Targu Mures
0 : 3
Calarasi
05 May
Afumati
3 : 0
Targu Mures
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calarasi 38 29 6 3 75:24 93
2 FC Hermannstadt 38 27 10 1 66:13 91
3 Chindia Targoviste 38 21 12 5 71:28 75
4 Campionii Arges 38 20 8 10 61:35 68
5 Afumati 38 20 8 10 53:32 68
6 LPS HD Clinceni 38 16 10 12 63:54 58
7 Politehnica Timisoara 38 18 6 14 55:43 57
8 Luceafarul Oradea 38 15 8 15 65:59 53
9 Mioveni 38 14 10 14 54:46 52
10 Sportul Snagov 38 14 9 15 51:37 51
11 Ripensia Timisoara 38 13 9 16 72:60 48
12 FC UTA Arad 38 12 11 15 60:55 47
13 Balotesti 38 13 8 17 54:74 47
14 Pandurii 38 9 15 14 49:57 42
15 Braila 38 11 8 19 70:72 41
16 Metaloglobus Bucharest 38 11 8 19 38:55 41
17 Stiinta Miroslava 38 10 7 21 46:73 37
18 Foresta Suceava 38 10 3 25 35:106 33
19 Targu Mures 37 9 4 24 38:85 31
20 Olimpia Satu Mare 37 6 2 29 19:87 -50
Promotion - Liga 1 2018/2019 (Main)
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