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Afyonkarahisaspor vs Tarsus

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
74' Event
89' Event

AI Match Summary

Tarsus in this TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tarsus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afyonkarahisaspor
6%
Draws
4%
Tarsus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afyonkarahisaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afyonkarahisaspor lately — more wins on the board than Tarsus.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Afyonkarahisaspor taking it.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 3 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Afyonkarahisaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Tarsus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afyonkarahisaspor Tarsus
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2012 3. Lig Group 3
Afyonkarahisaspor vs Tarsus
1:2
Nov 20, 2011 3. Lig Group 3
Tarsus vs Afyonkarahisaspor
0:0
Dec 7, 2008 TFF 2. Lig Group 2
Tarsus vs Afyonkarahisaspor
3:0
Oct 5, 2008 TFF 2. Lig Group 2
Afyonkarahisaspor vs Tarsus
1:3
Oct 30, 1994 1. Lig
Afyonkarahisaspor vs Tarsus
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afyonkarahisaspor 85 / 100
Tarsus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afyonkarahisaspor Tarsus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarsus has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Afyonkarahisaspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tarsus lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tarsus
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Afyonkarahisaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
8 : 0
Afyonkarahisaspor
12 May
Afyonkarahisaspor
3 : 1
Yozgatspor
05 May
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
1 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
29 Apr
Afyonkarahisaspor
4 : 2
Araklispor
22 Apr
Sancaktepe
1 : 1
Afyonkarahisaspor
Page 1 of 6

Tarsus

(Away)
27 Apr
Tarsus
1 : 1
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
21 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Tarsus
14 Apr
Tarsus
2 : 5
Edirnespor Genclik
07 Apr
Kepez Bld.
9 : 0
Tarsus
03 Apr
Tarsus
0 : 5
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hatayspor36226855:2972
2Tarsus362051162:4165
3Sancaktepe361611954:3859
4Siirtspor3616101043:3458
5Karacabey Bld.361512951:3957
6Darica Genclerbirligi3614111150:4253
7Aydinspor3614111143:3653
8Erzurumspor FK361581346:4253
9Beykoz Ishakli Spor3614111149:4653
10Pazarspor3614111144:4553
11Yozgatspor3613121145:4351
12Dardanelspor3611131230:3146
13Kemerspor 20033610151131:3445
14Beylerbeyi SK3611111439:4044
15Ankara Demirspor361191642:4742
16Diyarbakir Kayapinar369111634:4638
17Afyonkarahisaspor369101738:5037
18Araklispor36882036:6432
19Carsambaspor36472525:7019
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2011/2012 (Play Offs)