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Stadium Background

Afyonspor vs Altay

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Zafer Stadı, Afyonkarahisar
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ozdemir S.

AI Match Summary

Altay in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Afyonspor
30%
Draws
37%
Altay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Altay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Altay have won more games recently than Afyonspor.
  • Win probability leans Afyonspor's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Altay have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 20%
Altay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afyonspor Altay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Altay vs Afyonspor
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Altay
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Altay vs Afyonspor
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Afyonspor vs Altay
0:1
Jan 27, 2019 1. Lig
Altay vs Afyonspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afyonspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Altay Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozdemir S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afyonspor 58 / 100
Altay 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afyonspor Altay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afyonspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Afyonspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Afyonspor's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Afyonspor VS Altay
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Afyonspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Afyonspor
4 : 1
Tire 2021 FK
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
02 Apr
Soke 1970
5 : 2
Afyonspor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
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Altay

(Away)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Nazillispor
0 : 3
Altay
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
29 Mar
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0
Altay
25 Mar
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)