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Afyonspor vs Balikesirspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Zafer Stadı
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Arican A.
Assist: Velioglu S.
33' Event
Sonmez Y.
Assist: Velioglu S.
87' Event
Sedat K.
Assist: Berber Y. Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Afyonspor and Balikesirspor finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balikesirspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Afyonspor
33%
Draws
27%
Balikesirspor
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Afyonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Balikesirspor come out ahead of Afyonspor on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Afyonspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Balikesirspor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 10%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afyonspor Balikesirspor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 18
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Balikesirspor
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Afyonspor
4:0
Aug 2, 2019 Club Friendly
Afyonspor vs Balikesirspor
1:2
Feb 22, 2019 1. Lig
Balikesirspor vs Afyonspor
2:1
Sep 23, 2018 1. Lig
Afyonspor vs Balikesirspor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afyonspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Balikesirspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arican A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonmez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afyonspor 38 / 100
Balikesirspor 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afyonspor Balikesirspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Balikesirspor conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Afyonspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Afyonspor's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Afyonspor VS Balikesirspor
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kutahyaspor30243369:1875
2Eskisehirspor30225374:1871
3Karsiyaka30207364:1967
4Ayvalikgucu30185759:2759
5Balikesirspor30177659:2458
6Usak Belediyespor Kulubu301531235:3548
7Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu301451137:3347
8Alanya 1221301081228:3338
9Tire 2021 FK301071347:3937
10Soke 1970301051539:4335
11Eskisehir Anadolu30981344:4235
12Altay30971429:4128
13Izmir Coruhlu30651928:6623
14Afyonspor30571831:6122
15Bornova 187730561935:6821
16Nazillispor3004267:1184