Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afyonspor vs Izmir Coruhlu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Zafer Stadı, Afyonkarahisar
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Akturk E.
(Penalty)
37'
Konday A. E.
37'
Konday A. E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 game between Afyonspor and Izmir Coruhlu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Afyonspor
30%
Draws
37%
Izmir Coruhlu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Izmir Coruhlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Izmir Coruhlu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Afyonspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Afyonspor Clean Sheet 18%
Izmir Coruhlu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afyonspor Izmir Coruhlu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Afyonspor vs Izmir Coruhlu
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Izmir Coruhlu vs Afyonspor
2:3
Apr 23, 2017 3. Lig Group 3
Izmir Coruhlu vs Afyonspor
1:0
Dec 11, 2016 3. Lig Group 3
Afyonspor vs Izmir Coruhlu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afyonspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Izmir Coruhlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afyonspor 85 / 100
Izmir Coruhlu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afyonspor Izmir Coruhlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afyonspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Izmir Coruhlu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Afyonspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Afyonspor scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Afyonspor VS Izmir Coruhlu
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afyonspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Altay
2 : 0
Afyonspor
12 Apr
Afyonspor
4 : 1
Tire 2021 FK
05 Apr
Afyonspor
3 : 0
Nazillispor
02 Apr
Soke 1970
5 : 2
Afyonspor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 6

Izmir Coruhlu

(Away)
18 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
9 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
12 Apr
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 1
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
05 Apr
Altay
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
28 Mar
Izmir Coruhlu
3 : 0
Nazillispor
24 Mar
Afyonspor
1 : 1
Izmir Coruhlu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kutahyaspor 30 24 3 3 69:18 75
2 Eskisehirspor 30 22 5 3 74:18 71
3 Karsiyaka 30 20 7 3 64:19 67
4 Ayvalikgucu 30 18 5 7 59:27 59
5 Balikesirspor 30 17 7 6 59:24 58
6 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 15 3 12 35:35 48
7 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 30 14 5 11 37:33 47
8 Alanya 1221 30 10 8 12 28:33 38
9 Tire 2021 FK 30 10 7 13 47:39 37
10 Soke 1970 30 10 5 15 39:43 35
11 Eskisehir Anadolu 30 9 8 13 44:42 35
12 Altay 30 9 7 14 29:41 28
13 Izmir Coruhlu 30 6 5 19 28:66 23
14 Afyonspor 30 5 7 18 31:61 22
15 Bornova 1877 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
16 Nazillispor 30 0 4 26 7:118 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)