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Agboville vs Mouna

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Agboville and Mouna finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Agboville
30%
Draws
34%
Mouna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Agboville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mouna come out ahead of Agboville on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Agboville taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Agboville Clean Sheet 18%
Mouna Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agboville Mouna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Agboville
1:1
Dec 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Agboville vs Mouna
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agboville 36 / 100
Mouna 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agboville Mouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Mouna let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Agboville has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Agboville's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Agboville VS Mouna
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agboville

(Home)
24 May
Agboville
0 : 0
Tchologo
17 May
Agboville
0 : 1
ISCA
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
03 May
Agboville
1 : 0
Racing d'Abidjan
25 Apr
Agboville
2 : 1
San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Mouna

(Away)
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
05 May
Zoman
1 : 3
Mouna
26 Apr
Mouna
0 : 1
Academie de FAD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASEC Mimosas30195650:2162
2San Pedro301410643:3252
3Academie de FAD30148840:2450
4Mouna301461042:3048
5Tchologo30129929:2945
6Stade d'Abidjan301271130:2843
7Stella Adjame301191028:2842
8SOL301231533:4639
9Korhogo301081231:3238
10Bouake309111024:2538
11SO Armee309101123:2337
12ISCA301061416:2736
13Agboville308101220:3034
14Zoman30891320:3233
15Olympique Sport30881427:4032
16Racing d'Abidjan30691524:3327
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)