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Agias vs Kastoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kastoria in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kastoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Agias
15%
Draws
85%
Kastoria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kastoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kastoria lately — more wins on the board than Agias.
  • Kastoria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Agias Clean Sheet 20%
Kastoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agias Kastoria
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 0.57 1
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Agias vs Kastoria
0:2
Dec 21, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Kastoria vs Agias
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agias 10 / 100
Kastoria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agias Kastoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kastoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kastoria conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Kastoria registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Agias's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kastoria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Agias

(Home)
30 Apr
Agias
3 : 4
Ethnikos Neou
23 Apr
Svoronos FC
5 : 2
Agias
12 Apr
Agias
0 : 6
AEP Kozanis
08 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 0
Agias
02 Apr
Agias
0 : 1
O. Volos
Page 1 of 6

Kastoria

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastoria
0 : 1
Makedonikos Siatista
27 Sept
Vatolakkos
0 : 1
Kastoria
28 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 4
Svoronos FC
24 Apr
Eordaikos
2 : 1
Kastoria
20 Apr
Kastoria
0 : 2
Asteras Petriti
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kozani FC 26 16 9 1 53:16 57
2 Ethnikos Neou 26 11 9 6 35:25 42
3 Keravnos Anchelochori 26 12 6 8 47:25 42
4 Chaniotis 26 11 8 7 40:34 41
5 Pierikos 26 11 6 9 34:27 39
6 Svoronos FC 26 10 9 7 31:29 39
7 PAOK Kristonis 26 10 7 9 26:36 37
8 Kastoria 26 9 9 8 23:23 36
9 AEP Kozanis 26 10 5 11 40:39 35
10 Elassona 26 5 14 7 19:23 29
11 Edessaikos 26 7 7 12 25:35 28
12 Makedonikos Foufas 26 7 6 13 22:36 27
13 O. Volos 26 6 7 13 16:26 25
14 Agias 26 5 2 19 14:51 17
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)