Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agigea in this Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agigea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Agigea
15%
Draws
78%
Progresul Fundulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Fundulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Fundulea lately — more wins on the board than Agigea.
  • Model gives Progresul Fundulea a 78% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Progresul Fundulea here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Agigea Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Fundulea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agigea Progresul Fundulea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agigea vs Progresul Fundulea
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Progresul Fundulea vs Agigea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agigea 10 / 100
Progresul Fundulea 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agigea Progresul Fundulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Fundulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agigea found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Progresul Fundulea has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Agigea stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agigea VS Progresul Fundulea
0.75 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Agigea

(Home)
29 Jul
Agigea
2 : 3
Axiopolis Cernavoda
16 May
Agigea
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
08 May
FCSB 2
3 : 0
Agigea
01 May
Agigea
1 : 1
Din. Bucuresti 2
24 Apr
Voluntari 2
1 : 0
Agigea
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Fundulea

(Away)
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
16 May
Agigea
0 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
09 May
Progresul Fundulea
3 : 1
Axiopolis Cernavoda
02 May
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2 : 6
Progresul Fundulea
25 Apr
Progresul Fundulea
4 : 1
Gloria Baneasa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 22 15 3 4 51:27 48
2 Popesti Leordeni 22 13 6 3 47:17 45
3 Inainte Modelu 22 14 3 5 51:26 45
4 Calarasi 22 12 4 6 37:30 40
5 FCSB 2 22 12 3 7 52:33 39
6 Progresul Fundulea 22 10 1 11 38:30 31
7 Gloria Baneasa 22 9 2 11 44:47 29
8 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 22 9 0 13 33:44 27
9 Axiopolis Cernavoda 22 7 2 13 31:44 23
10 Agigea 22 7 2 13 26:52 23
11 Din. Bucuresti 2 22 6 1 15 32:52 19
12 Voluntari 2 22 3 3 16 26:66 12
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)