Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agigea vs Sporting Liesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Agigea and Sporting Liesti finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agigea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Agigea
15%
Draws
32%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agigea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Liesti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Agigea are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Agigea Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agigea Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Agigea vs Sporting Liesti
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agigea 40 / 100
Sporting Liesti 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agigea Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Agigea scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Sporting Liesti has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Agigea went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agigea VS Sporting Liesti
1.38 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Agigea

(Home)
02 Oct
Calarasi
0 : 0
Agigea
26 Sept
Agigea
0 : 1
Inainte Modelu
23 Sept
Agigea
2 : 1
Unirea Branistea
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Liesti

(Away)
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Inainte Modelu 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)