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Agnonese vs Celano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agnonese in this Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agnonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Agnonese
20%
Draws
16%
Celano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agnonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Celano haven't matched Agnonese's recent run of results.
  • Agnonese are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Agnonese Clean Sheet 15%
Celano Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agnonese Celano
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 23 21
Goals Scored 0.94 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Celano
2:1
Oct 5, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Agnonese
3:1
Apr 6, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Agnonese
1:1
Nov 24, 2013 Serie D - Group F
Agnonese vs Celano
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agnonese 41 / 100
Celano 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agnonese Celano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celano let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Celano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Agnonese scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Agnonese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Agnonese

(Home)
19 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 2
Montegiorgio
16 Jun
Castelfidardo
4 : 0
Agnonese
13 Jun
Agnonese
2 : 4
Aprilia
06 Jun
Agnonese
0 : 2
Roma City
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
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Celano

(Away)
10 May
Celano
0 : 1
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Celano
26 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Campobasso
19 Apr
Fermana
1 : 0
Celano
12 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maceratese 34 22 12 0 61:22 78
2 Fano 34 22 8 4 60:25 74
3 Sambenedettese 34 18 9 7 71:40 63
4 Campobasso 34 15 12 7 49:42 57
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 13 8 59:46 52
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 14 8 52:46 50
7 Civitanovese Calcio 34 13 11 10 56:51 50
8 Matelica 34 11 12 11 36:34 45
9 Giulianova 34 10 15 9 44:43 45
10 Fermana 34 11 9 14 37:44 42
11 Jesina 34 10 12 12 40:38 42
12 Termoli 34 10 9 15 31:53 39
13 Recanatese 34 9 12 13 37:44 39
14 Amiternina 34 9 11 14 30:45 38
15 Castelfidardo 34 7 10 17 25:49 31
16 Agnonese 34 8 7 19 31:51 31
17 Vis Pesaro 34 6 11 17 35:45 29
18 Celano 34 4 5 25 23:59 17
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 (Play Out)