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Agoncillo vs Anguiano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Fernandez I.
13' Event
Rojas C.
77' Event
Brun L.

AI Match Summary

Anguiano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Anguiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Agoncillo
35%
Draws
40%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Anguiano lately — more wins on the board than Agoncillo.
  • Agoncillo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 10%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agoncillo Anguiano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.07 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Agoncillo
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Anguiano
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Agoncillo
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs Agoncillo
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Anguiano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agoncillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Brun L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rojas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agoncillo 34 / 100
Anguiano 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agoncillo Anguiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agoncillo found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Anguiano conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Agoncillo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Agoncillo VS Anguiano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agoncillo

(Home)
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
Page 1 of 6

Anguiano

(Away)
27 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 2
Alfaro
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
06 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 2
Anguiano
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)