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Agoncillo vs Calasancio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Calasancio in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calasancio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Agoncillo
35%
Draws
25%
Calasancio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Agoncillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Agoncillo have won more games recently than Calasancio.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Agoncillo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 16 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Calasancio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Agoncillo Clean Sheet 17%
Calasancio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agoncillo Calasancio
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.81 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Agoncillo
1:1
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Calasancio
0:1
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Agoncillo vs Calasancio
0:1
Sep 30, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Agoncillo
1:0
Mar 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Calasancio vs Agoncillo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agoncillo 84 / 100
Calasancio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agoncillo Calasancio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agoncillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agoncillo found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Calasancio conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Agoncillo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Agoncillo VS Calasancio
1.63 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Agoncillo

(Home)
04 Oct
Agoncillo
2 : 0
Vianes
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
Anguiano
1 : 1
Agoncillo
05 Sept
Agoncillo
1 : 1
Haro Deportivo
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Calasancio

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Calasancio
0 : 0
Anguiano
13 Sept
Haro Deportivo
4 : 3
Calasancio
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
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