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Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Albesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Agricola Borcea play Gloria Albesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 3 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agricola Borcea averaged 2.68 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Gloria Albesti averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Agricola Borcea won 3, Gloria Albesti won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Agricola Borcea and 0.88 for Gloria Albesti. This points to a Agricola Borcea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Agricola Borcea
15%
Draws
34%
Gloria Albesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agricola Borcea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Agricola Borcea picked up more points recently compared to Gloria Albesti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Agricola Borcea Clean Sheet 25%
Gloria Albesti Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agricola Borcea Gloria Albesti
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 23 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.68 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Albesti
1:3
Sep 24, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Albesti vs Agricola Borcea
6:0
Nov 13, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Gloria Albesti vs Agricola Borcea
2:4
Sep 11, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Albesti
2:0
Nov 14, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Agricola Borcea vs Gloria Albesti
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agricola Borcea 51 / 100
Gloria Albesti 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agricola Borcea Gloria Albesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Agricola Borcea or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agricola Borcea attacking → ← attacking Gloria Albesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agricola Borcea scored in 89% of their last 37 games.

Gloria Albesti let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Agricola Borcea went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Albesti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

73 Points in last 5 42
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Afumati18150353:1545
2Farul Constanta 21887339:2031
3Inainte Modelu1886424:2330
4Gloria Albesti1892748:3229
5Gloria Baneasa1884641:3428
6Recolta Gheorghe Doja1874739:3325
7Calarasi1866636:2324
8Voluntari 21846826:3518
9Agricola Borcea18501332:5215
10Amara18211512:837