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Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Liesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Agricola Borcea and Sporting Liesti finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agricola Borcea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Agricola Borcea
15%
Draws
28%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agricola Borcea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of Agricola Borcea on wins alone.
  • Model gives Agricola Borcea a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Agricola Borcea Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agricola Borcea Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 19 21
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.69 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Liesti
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agricola Borcea 65 / 100
Sporting Liesti 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agricola Borcea Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agricola Borcea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agricola Borcea found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Sporting Liesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Agricola Borcea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Agricola Borcea VS Sporting Liesti
2.5 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Agricola Borcea

(Home)
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Gloria Baneasa
1 : 3
Agricola Borcea
23 Sept
Agricola Borcea
0 : 1
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
19 Sept
Axiopolis Cernavoda
2 : 3
Agricola Borcea
12 Sept
Agricola Borcea
4 : 2
Progresul Fundulea
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Liesti

(Away)
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Inainte Modelu 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)