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Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Ofelia Rosenzuaig, Buenos Aires
Agropecuario Logo

Agropecuario

2 - 0
FT
Atl. Rafaela Logo

Atl. Rafaela

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Vega J.
14'
Capurro J.
16'
Valdez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Agropecuario in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agropecuario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Agropecuario
15%
Draws
26%
Atl. Rafaela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agropecuario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Agropecuario haven't matched Atl. Rafaela's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Agropecuario Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agropecuario Atl. Rafaela
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Apr 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Agropecuario
4:1
Jun 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs Agropecuario
2:2
Feb 10, 2019 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela
2:0
Dec 3, 2017 Primera Nacional
Agropecuario vs Atl. Rafaela
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agropecuario Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lecanda T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Atl. Rafaela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agropecuario 42 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agropecuario Atl. Rafaela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Agropecuario went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Rafaela lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Agropecuario scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Agropecuario VS Atl. Rafaela
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Agropecuario

(Home)
04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Midland
27 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
Agropecuario
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
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Atl. Rafaela

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)