Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agua Santa U20 vs Capivariano U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
0 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Agua Santa U20
15%
Draws
46%
Capivariano U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capivariano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Agua Santa U20 have won more games recently than Capivariano U20.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Capivariano U20 taking it.
  • Agua Santa U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capivariano U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Agua Santa U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Agua Santa U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa U20 Capivariano U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.26 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Paulista U20
Agua Santa U20 vs Capivariano U20
0:2
Sep 19, 2026 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Agua Santa U20
0:1
Aug 11, 2026 Paulista U20
Capivariano U20 vs Agua Santa U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa U20 11 / 100
Capivariano U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa U20 Capivariano U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capivariano U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agua Santa U20's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Capivariano U20 conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Agua Santa U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa U20 VS Capivariano U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Agua Santa U20
0 : 2
Capivariano U20
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Bragantino U20
8 : 0
Agua Santa U20
08 Sept
Agua Santa U20
1 : 2
Palmeiras U20
21 Aug
Agua Santa U20
1 : 0
Tanabi U20
Page 1 of 7

Capivariano U20

(Away)
25 Sept
Agua Santa U20
0 : 2
Capivariano U20
19 Sept
Capivariano U20
0 : 1
Agua Santa U20
12 Sept
Capivariano U20
1 : 1
Tanabi U20
04 Sept
Maua FC U20
0 : 1
Capivariano U20
21 Aug
Flamengo SP U20
1 : 0
Capivariano U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Uniao Suzano U20 2
Guarani U20 5
Ponte Preta U20 6
Portuguesa U20 1
Flamengo SP U20 3
Ferroviaria U20 2
Piracicaba U20 1
Sfera U20 2
Sertaozinho U20 1
Santo Andre U20 4
Portuguesa Santista U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Osasco Sporting U20 3
Desportivo U20 5
Capivariano U20 2
Agua Santa U20 1
Botafogo SP U20 4
Osasco Audax U20 1
XV de Jau U20 2
Corinthians U20 5
CA Bandeirante U20 0
Bragantino U20 6
Jabaquara U20 1
Santos U20 6
Paulinense U20 3
Ibrachina U20 5
EC Sao Bernardo U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 2
Ituano U20 2
Palmeiras U20 3
Gremio Prudente U20 0
CA Juventus U20 0
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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