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Agua Santa vs Sao Bento Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vitao
10' Event
Antonio Gabriel
90' Event
Vitao

AI Match Summary

Agua Santa in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Agua Santa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Agua Santa
20%
Draws
29%
Sao Bento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Agua Santa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Agua Santa have won more games recently than Sao Bento.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Agua Santa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agua Santa Sao Bento
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.32 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Paulista A2
Agua Santa vs Sao Bento
3:0
Jan 21, 2023 Paulista
Agua Santa vs Sao Bento
1:1
Feb 27, 2016 Paulista
Agua Santa vs Sao Bento
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agua Santa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Antonio Gabriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Sao Bento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agua Santa 95 / 100
Sao Bento 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agua Santa Sao Bento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agua Santa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agua Santa found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Sao Bento's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Agua Santa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Agua Santa VS Sao Bento
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Agua Santa

(Home)
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2
Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0
Agua Santa
06 Jun
America RJ
1 : 0
Agua Santa
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1
Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0
Pouso Alegre
Page 1 of 7

Sao Bento

(Away)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)