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Aguai U20 vs Botafogo SP U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lazaro
14' Event
Davi
74'
Ubeda F.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Aguai U20 and Botafogo SP U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aguai U20
44%
Draws
20%
Botafogo SP U20
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Botafogo SP U20 come out ahead of Aguai U20 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aguai U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Botafogo SP U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguai U20 Botafogo SP U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista U20
Aguai U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Botafogo SP U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lazaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguai U20 34 / 100
Botafogo SP U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguai U20 Botafogo SP U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguai U20 scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Botafogo SP U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aguai U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguai U20 VS Botafogo SP U20
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Juventus U20641116:613
2Ferroviaria U20541010:113
3Corinthians U2054106:013
4Santos U20532010:011
5Portuguesa U2063129:610
6Portuguesa Santista U2062229:118
7Sertaozinho U2062224:68
8Ponte Preta U2052125:67
9Jabaquara U2062133:47
10Itapirense U2062049:136
11Sao Bento U2051135:74
12Uniao Suzano U2061144:154
13America SP U2061053:133
14Mirassol U2050234:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20660019:418
2Desportivo U2075028:415
3Sao Paulo U20541010:113
4Osasco Sporting U2064029:712
5Piracicaba U2072418:610
6Paulinense U2072327:89
7Aguai U2072237:148
8Santo Andre U2062138:87
9Sao Caetano U2072149:127
10Novorizontino U2061327:66
11Uniao Sao Joao U2071335:76
12EC Sao Bernardo U2061235:115
13Bandeirante U2071244:105
14Botafogo SP U2060427:104
15Velo Clube U2060424:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20550019:515
2Guarani U20650113:615
3Agua Santa U20742114:714
4Palmeiras U20541011:213
5Sfera U20740317:612
6Gremio Prudente U2063129:810
7Capivariano U2072419:810
8Osasco Audax U2072237:98
9XV de Jau U2062135:137
10Ituano U2061417:97
11Flamengo SP U2062045:126
12Maua FC U2071335:126
13Tanabi U2071247:145
14Porto Football U2060150:81
15Referencia U2060154:131