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Aguai U20 vs Mogi Mirim U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Aguai U20 Logo

Aguai U20

0 - 1
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Mogi Mirim U20 Logo

Mogi Mirim U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mogi Mirim U20 in this Paulista U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mogi Mirim U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aguai U20
15%
Draws
85%
Mogi Mirim U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mogi Mirim U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mogi Mirim U20 average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Aguai U20's 0.75.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Aguai U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Mogi Mirim U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguai U20 Mogi Mirim U20
Matches Played 36 20
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Paulista U20
Mogi Mirim U20 vs Aguai U20
2:0
Apr 22, 2023 Paulista U20
Aguai U20 vs Mogi Mirim U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguai U20 35 / 100
Mogi Mirim U20 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguai U20 Mogi Mirim U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogi Mirim U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogi Mirim U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Mogi Mirim U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Aguai U20 found the back of the net in 51% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

Aguai U20 VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguai U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Aguai U20
0 : 2
Santo Andre U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20
07 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 8

Mogi Mirim U20

(Away)
25 Aug
Vocem U20
3 : 0
Mogi Mirim U20
19 Aug
Mogi Mirim U20
0 : 3
Mirassol U20
09 Aug
Mogi Mirim U20
0 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo U20
04 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo U20
3 : 0
Mogi Mirim U20
29 Jun
Mirassol U20
3 : 0
Mogi Mirim U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 8 1 1 40:9 25
2 Rio Preto EC U20 10 8 1 1 30:13 25
3 Tanabi U20 10 5 3 2 20:14 18
4 Olimpia FC U20 10 3 1 6 18:32 10
5 America SP U20 10 2 0 8 15:27 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 0 9 8:36 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Vocem U20 10 7 1 2 23:6 22
3 Aracatuba FC U20 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
4 Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
5 Tupa U20 10 3 1 6 11:20 10
6 Santacruzense U20 10 0 0 10 4:28 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 6 3 1 19:5 21
2 Comercial U20 10 5 3 2 14:10 18
3 CA Bandeirante U20 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 4 2 4 14:18 14
5 Batatais U20 10 2 1 7 8:16 7
6 Francana U20 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 10 10 0 0 30:2 30
2 Novorizontino U20 10 7 1 2 32:6 22
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 2 3 23:9 17
4 Monte Azul U20 10 4 1 5 18:21 13
5 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 2 0 8 8:39 6
6 Catanduvense U20 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lemense U20 10 6 3 1 23:7 21
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
3 Rio Claro U20 10 5 2 3 24:8 17
4 Velo Clube U20 10 5 2 3 23:15 17
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 2 1 7 20:31 7
6 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 0 1 9 5:46 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani U20 10 6 2 2 20:10 20
2 Capivariano U20 10 5 3 2 31:14 18
3 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
4 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 3 4 18:22 12
5 Piracicaba U20 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 3 6 10:30 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 15:7 22
2 Mogi Mirim U20 10 6 2 2 18:12 20
3 Itapirense U20 10 5 1 4 16:9 16
4 Brasilis U20 10 4 4 2 16:14 16
5 Guacuano U20 10 2 2 6 10:22 8
6 Aguai U20 10 0 2 8 7:18 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo U20 10 9 1 0 32:11 28
2 Osasco Sporting U20 10 6 1 3 19:14 19
3 Ituano U20 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
4 Sao Bento U20 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
5 Sharjah Brasil U20 10 3 0 7 13:19 9
6 Salto U20 10 0 0 10 4:25 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 10 9 0 1 28:2 27
2 Portuguesa U20 10 8 0 2 27:5 24
3 Bragantino U20 10 6 0 4 35:8 18
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 4 0 6 12:18 12
5 Guarulhos U20 10 2 0 8 5:32 6
6 Barcelona EC U20 10 1 0 9 1:43 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 7 3 0 25:6 24
2 Juventus-SP U20 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 5 2 3 9:12 17
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
6 GE Osasco U20 10 0 0 10 4:19 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Taubate U20 10 6 1 3 27:11 19
3 Sao Jose EC U20 10 5 2 3 13:7 17
4 AC Guaratingueta U20 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
5 Manthiqueira U20 10 2 0 8 9:39 6
6 CA Joseense U20 10 0 2 8 5:28 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 3 0 49:8 24
2 Agua Santa U20 10 7 3 0 24:5 24
3 Sao Caetano U20 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
4 Uniao Suzano U20 10 3 1 6 10:20 10
5 Uniao Mogi U20 10 1 1 8 7:34 4
6 ECUS SP U20 10 1 0 9 10:39 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 34:6 25
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 5 2 3 22:21 17
3 Jabaquara U20 10 4 1 5 18:20 13
4 Maua FC U20 10 3 2 5 16:25 11
5 Mauaense U20 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
6 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 2 3 5 12:21 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams