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Aguai U20 vs Paulinense U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Cezario T.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Aguai U20 and Paulinense U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguai U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Aguai U20
15%
Draws
85%
Paulinense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paulinense U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguai U20 come out ahead of Paulinense U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Paulinense U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aguai U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Paulinense U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguai U20 Paulinense U20
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Paulista U20
Aguai U20 vs Paulinense U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cezario T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paulinense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguai U20 10 / 100
Paulinense U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguai U20 Paulinense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paulinense U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulinense U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 16 outings.

Paulinense U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aguai U20 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aguai U20 VS Paulinense U20
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguai U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Novorizontino U20
1 : 0
Aguai U20
04 Sept
Aguai U20
0 : 2
Santo Andre U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 4
EC Sao Bernardo U20
07 Aug
Aguai U20
0 : 3
Sao Paulo U20
Page 1 of 6

Paulinense U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Ibrachina U20
3 : 1
Paulinense U20
21 Sept
Paulinense U20
2 : 2
Ibrachina U20
04 Sept
Paulinense U20
1 : 4
Novorizontino U20
20 Aug
Sao Paulo U20
2 : 0
Paulinense U20
14 Aug
CA Bandeirante U20
2 : 1
Paulinense U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)