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Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025
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Match Events

17' Event
Asefa M.
32' Event
Elyagon R.
40' Event
Revivo L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2024/2025 game between Agudat Sport Ashdod and Hapoel Azor finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Agudat Sport Ashdod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
20%
Draws
58%
Hapoel Azor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Azor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Agudat Sport Ashdod come out ahead of Hapoel Azor on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 27%
Hapoel Azor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agudat Sport Ashdod Hapoel Azor
Matches Played 27 22
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.56 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
3:2
Oct 22, 2024 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor
4:1
Mar 30, 2021 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:0
Feb 8, 2021 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Hapoel Azor
2:0
Mar 6, 2020 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Azor vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Agudat Sport Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Asefa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elyagon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Hapoel Azor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agudat Sport Ashdod 33 / 100
Hapoel Azor 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agudat Sport Ashdod Hapoel Azor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Azor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agudat Sport Ashdod's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Azor conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Agudat Sport Ashdod remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hapoel Azor
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Agudat Sport Ashdod

(Home)
25 Apr
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2 : 3
Ironi Modiin
22 Apr
Maccabi Yavne
2 : 1
Agudat Sport Ashdod
08 Apr
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2 : 0
H. Herzliya
04 Apr
Jerusalem FC
2 : 0
Agudat Sport Ashdod
21 Mar
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
2 : 1
Agudat Sport Ashdod
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Azor

(Away)
08 Oct
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 1
Hapoel Azor
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ironi Modiin 30 18 8 4 45:19 62
2 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 30 17 5 8 50:34 56
3 H. Herzliya 30 16 7 7 46:32 55
4 Maccabi Yavne 30 16 6 8 44:33 54
5 FC Dimona 30 15 6 9 43:29 51
6 Holon Yermiyahu 30 12 11 7 42:29 47
7 Jerusalem FC 30 12 9 9 47:41 45
8 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 30 10 10 10 35:31 40
9 Agudat Sport Ashdod 30 10 8 12 44:35 38
10 Shimshon Tel Aviv 30 9 11 10 33:34 38
11 Hapoel Marmorek 30 6 12 12 29:38 30
12 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 30 6 12 12 22:35 30
13 Hapoel Azor 30 7 9 14 28:48 30
14 Tzeirei Tira 30 7 8 15 24:44 29
15 Hapoel Bnei Lod 30 8 5 17 30:58 29
16 Maccabi Shaarayim 30 3 9 18 24:46 18
17 Nes Tziona 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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