Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Agueda vs Canelas 2010

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Águeda, Águeda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Agueda and Canelas 2010 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Agueda
30%
Draws
47%
Canelas 2010
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canelas 2010

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Canelas 2010 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Agueda taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Agueda Clean Sheet 20%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Agueda Canelas 2010
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs Canelas 2010
0:0
Dec 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Canelas 2010 vs Agueda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agueda 36 / 100
Canelas 2010 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Agueda Canelas 2010

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Canelas 2010 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Agueda scored in 54% of their last 24 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Canelas 2010
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Agueda

(Home)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

Canelas 2010

(Away)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)