Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017 Estádio Municipal de Águeda

FC Pampilhosa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Agueda play FC Pampilhosa in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agueda averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. FC Pampilhosa averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Agueda won 1, FC Pampilhosa won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 15, 2017 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Agueda and 1.06 for FC Pampilhosa. This points to a Agueda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Agueda

15%

Draws

40%

FC Pampilhosa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Agueda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Agueda picked up more points recently compared to FC Pampilhosa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Agueda Clean Sheet 22%

FC Pampilhosa Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Agueda	FC Pampilhosa
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	6	3
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	1.06	0.83
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Agueda vs FC Pampilhosa

Possession: 60% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Oct 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

FC Pampilhosa vs Agueda

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Agueda 45 / 100

FC Pampilhosa 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Agueda FC Pampilhosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Agueda or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Agueda attacking → ← attacking FC Pampilhosa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Agueda scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

FC Pampilhosa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Agueda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Pampilhosa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 27

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gafanha	18	11	5	2	28:15	38
2	Lusitano FCV	18	10	4	4	36:20	34
3	Anadia	18	9	6	3	33:16	33
4	Mortagua FC	18	8	7	3	33:18	31
5	Agueda	18	8	4	6	28:24	28
6	CD Gouveia	18	6	4	8	23:25	22
7	GD Tourizense	18	6	3	9	28:31	21
8	Nogueirense	18	4	7	7	16:25	19
9	FC Pampilhosa	18	4	2	12	15:35	14
10	Academica Coimbra SF	18	1	4	13	8:39	7