Sport Picks
Agueda vs Valadares Gaia FC
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 Estádio Municipal de Águeda 
AI Match Summary
Agueda play Valadares Gaia FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Agueda averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Valadares Gaia FC averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Agueda won 1, Valadares Gaia FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Agueda and 1.11 for Valadares Gaia FC. This points to a Valadares Gaia FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Agueda picked up more points recently compared to Valadares Gaia FC.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.11 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Agueda | Valadares Gaia FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 42 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.36 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Agueda scored in 54% of their last 24 games.
Valadares Gaia FC let in goals in 62% of their last 42 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Agueda went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Valadares Gaia FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anadia | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:15 | 44 |
| 2 | Canelas 2010 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:13 | 41 |
| 3 | Lusitania FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38:26 | 39 |
| 4 | Sao Joao de Ver | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:14 | 38 |
| 5 | Sanjoanense | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 26:13 | 36 |
| 6 | Castro Daire | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23:24 | 35 |
| 7 | Valadares Gaia FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36:27 | 33 |
| 8 | SC Espinho | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:22 | 31 |
| 9 | Beira Mar | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:23 | 31 |
| 10 | Agueda | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Lusitano FCV | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17:34 | 16 |
| 12 | Vila Cortez | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8:86 | 4 |