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Aguia De Maraba vs Gaviao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraense 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Echeverria M.
54' Event
Luan Santos

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paraense 2021 game between Aguia De Maraba and Gaviao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Aguia De Maraba
15%
Draws
53%
Gaviao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaviao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguia De Maraba come out ahead of Gaviao on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Gaviao taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Paraense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 19%
Gaviao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba Gaviao
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2021 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Gaviao
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Echeverria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Gaviao Compare

Top Goalscorer Luan Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba 28 / 100
Gaviao 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba Gaviao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaviao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gaviao let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Aguia De Maraba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguia De Maraba VS Gaviao
2.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.43
100% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia De Maraba

(Home)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 7

Gaviao

(Away)
02 Oct
Gaviao
2 : 0
Belenense
28 Sept
Belenense
1 : 0
Gaviao
20 Sept
Altamira
0 : 1
Gaviao
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
11 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 0
Altamira
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 6 1 1 12:6 19
2 Itupiranga 8 3 2 3 4:5 11
3 Bragantino PA 8 1 5 2 15:16 8
4 Gaviao 8 0 3 5 8:21 3
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 6 2 0 18:9 20
2 Tuna Luso 8 3 3 2 20:13 12
3 Marajo 8 1 4 3 7:9 7
4 Carajas 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
2 Castanhal 8 2 5 1 11:9 11
3 Aguia De Maraba 8 1 5 2 6:7 8
4 Paragominas 8 1 4 3 10:14 7
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams