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Aguia De Maraba vs Parauapebas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraense 2018
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Match Events

21' Event
Monga

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paraense 2018 game between Aguia De Maraba and Parauapebas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parauapebas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Aguia De Maraba
30%
Draws
42%
Parauapebas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parauapebas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Parauapebas haven't matched Aguia De Maraba's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 20%
Parauapebas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba Parauapebas
Matches Played 43 27
Wins 20 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.44 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2018 Paraense
Parauapebas vs Aguia De Maraba
1:1
Jan 27, 2018 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Parauapebas
0:1
Feb 4, 2016 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Parauapebas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Parauapebas Compare

Top Goalscorer Monga
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba 32 / 100
Parauapebas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba Parauapebas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parauapebas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Parauapebas let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Aguia De Maraba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia De Maraba VS Parauapebas
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia De Maraba

(Home)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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Parauapebas

(Away)
03 Oct
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Parauapebas
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
2 Bragantino PA 10 6 1 3 17:15 19
3 Independente 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
4 Aguia De Maraba 10 3 2 5 7:14 11
5 Cameta 10 0 4 6 10:18 4
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
2 Sao Raimundo PA 10 5 1 4 15:12 16
3 Castanhal 10 4 1 5 16:17 13
4 Paragominas 10 2 5 3 12:12 11
5 Parauapebas 10 1 5 4 9:13 8
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2018 (Play Offs)