Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguia De Maraba vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira, Marabá
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
JP Bardales
40' Event
Juninho
45' Event
Lucas Cardoso

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Paysandu PA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aguia De Maraba
39%
Draws
31%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of Aguia De Maraba on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Paysandu PA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paysandu PA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Paysandu PA here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia De Maraba Paysandu PA
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Norte
Aguia De Maraba vs Paysandu PA
1:5
Apr 1, 2025 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Aguia De Maraba
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Paysandu PA
2:4
Mar 30, 2024 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Aguia De Maraba
4:0
Mar 27, 2024 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Paysandu PA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer JP Bardales
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Cardoso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia De Maraba 41 / 100
Paysandu PA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia De Maraba Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia De Maraba's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Paysandu PA let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Paysandu PA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguia De Maraba VS Paysandu PA
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia De Maraba

(Home)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
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Paysandu PA

(Away)
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
14 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Porto Velho1
Aguia De Maraba1
Paysandu PA5
Final
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Paysandu PA5