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Aguia FC vs Academica Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
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Match Events

42' Event
Adao

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 game between Aguia FC and Academica Vitoria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aguia FC
33%
Draws
27%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aguia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academica Vitoria come out ahead of Aguia FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aguia FC taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 20%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 15 36
Wins 5 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Aguia FC vs Academica Vitoria
1:0
Sep 9, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Aguia FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Academica Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 40 / 100
Academica Vitoria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC Academica Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (15 games).

Academica Vitoria let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Academica Vitoria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS Academica Vitoria
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182