Sport Picks

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Aguia FC vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cabense in this Pernambucano 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cabense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Aguia FC
20%
Draws
36%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cabense lately — more wins on the board than Aguia FC.
  • Model gives Aguia FC a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cabense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC Cabense
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.55 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Aguia FC vs Cabense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 40 / 100
Cabense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC Cabense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguia FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabense let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Aguia FC scored in 62% of their last 21 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Aguia FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS Cabense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.6
100% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguia FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Aguia FC
1 : 0
Academica Vitoria
20 Sept
Aguia FC
1 : 2
Caruaru
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Cabense

(Away)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)