Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguia FC vs Ypiranga

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Adao
76'
Danilo Bala
76'
Danilo Bala

AI Match Summary

Aguia FC in this Pernambucano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Aguia FC
39%
Draws
31%
Ypiranga
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga have won more games recently than Aguia FC.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ypiranga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Aguia FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguia FC Ypiranga
Matches Played 15 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 16
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Aguia FC vs Ypiranga
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Aguia FC
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Aguia FC vs Ypiranga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguia FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Adao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ypiranga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguia FC 31 / 100
Ypiranga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguia FC Ypiranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aguia FC scored in 73% of their last 15 outings.

Defensive concern: Ypiranga conceded in 50% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Aguia FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguia FC VS Ypiranga
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182