Sport Picks
Aguia Negra vs Ivinhema - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Sul-Matogrossense 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Ivinhema advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ivinhema carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Aguia Negra's way, sitting at 36%.
- Ivinhema arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ivinhema, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ivinhema have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aguia Negra | Ivinhema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aguia Negra Compare
Ivinhema Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Aguia Negra's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ivinhema let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Aguia Negra went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
