Sport Picks

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Aguias do Moradal vs Fayal

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguias do Moradal in this Taça de Portugal 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguias do Moradal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aguias do Moradal
6%
Draws
4%
Fayal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aguias do Moradal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Fayal haven't matched Aguias do Moradal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aguias do Moradal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aguias do Moradal Clean Sheet 12%
Fayal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguias do Moradal Fayal
Matches Played 31 7
Wins 7 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Aguias do Moradal vs Fayal
6:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguias do Moradal 83 / 100
Fayal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguias do Moradal Fayal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fayal conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fayal registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aguias do Moradal scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguias do Moradal VS Fayal
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Gil Vicente-
TBD-
FC Cesarense3
Oliveira do Douro4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tondela-
Leiria e Marrazes-
TBD-
SC Mirandela2
Mondinense3
Sao Martinho2
Aroes0
Amiense-
TBD-
BSAD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Almancilense-
TBD-
TBD-
Olhanense-
FC Pampilhosa7
AD Estacao0
TBD-
Mafra-
Amiense0
SB Castelo Branco9
TBD-
Portimonense-
Aves-
TBD-
TBD-
AD Limianos-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moreirense-
Sertanense4
CF Os Gavionenses0
AD Pontassolense0
Minas de Argozelo4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
U. Madeira-
Cova De Piedade1
Torreense0
Moncarapachense0
Lusitano VRSA2
Covilha-
TBD-
Electrico FC1
Alcanenense2
Mosteirense-
TBD-
Vigor Mocidade0
Sporting Ideal3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nacional-
Boavista-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Crato2
Vitoria Sernache1
GD Alcochetense0
GS Loures1
SC Salgueiros1
Cinfaes0
Fayal1
Aguias do Moradal6
FC Amares4
Aguia Vimioso3
Alcains0
Operario1
Trofense1
Sobrado0
TBD-
Atletico CP-
Pedras Rubras1
AD Oliveirense0
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Sanjoanense4
Sousense1
Mosteirense1
1º Dezembro4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Academica-
Feirense-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Sabugal-
Castrense2
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira0
TBD-
Famalicao-
SC Praiense7
Mira Mar0
Vitorino de Piaes0
CDC Montalegre1
Sacavenense2
Redondense0
FC Barreirense2
Malveira5
SC Angrense2
Academica Coimbra SF1
Almancilense0
Moura AC1
Vitorino de Piaes-
TBD-
Sao Roque0
Torre De Moncorvo2
Varzim-
TBD-
GD Uniao Torcatense3
Maria de Fonte4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto-
Braga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Agueda4
Trancoso0
TBD-
Academico Viseu-
Rio Tinto3
Regua1
Penalva do Castelo2
Mortagua FC3
Oliveira Hospital2
GD Tourizense1
TBD-
SC Farense-
Benfica-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bustelo-
TBD-
Neves0
SC Vianense1
Vilafranquense-
TBD-
TBD-
Manteigas-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Amarante FC3
SC Vila Real2
TBD-
Sao Roque-
Lusitano FCV2
Gafanha0
Vilaverdense FC1
GD Braganca2
Lusitania FC1
Bustelo0
Carregal do Sal2
Estarreja5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maritimo-
Chaves-
TBD-
Tomar0
Leiria7
Freamunde-
TBD-
Juv. Evora0
Louletano5
Leixoes-
TBD-
Atletico SC0
Pinhalnovense2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arouca-
Rio Ave-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Camacha2
Pedras Salgadas1
CD Rabo Peixe1
Uniao4
Naval3
Nogueirense1
Praia Milfontes2
Viana Alentejo3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Casa Pia1
Vilafranquense3
Leiria e Marrazes0
Alcobaca1
Real SC3
Sintrense1
TBD-
Oriental-
GD Coruchense2
Povoense1
TBD-
Oliveirense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
Penafiel-
TBD-
Amora1
Lagoa2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Coimbroes-
TBD-
Manteigas0
Oliveira de Frades4
Gafanha-
TBD-
Vizela0
AD Fafe1
Caldas SC2
GD Peniche1
FC Felgueiras0
Tirsense1
GD Alcochetense-
TBD-
AD Limianos0
Atletico Arcos1
Gondomar2
Coimbroes1
SC Sabugal3
Anadia5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Estoril-
1/64-finals
Gil Vicente5
Oliveira do Douro3
TBD-
Tondela-
Leiria e Marrazes3
Mondinense2
Sao Martinho0
SB Castelo Branco1
BSAD-
TBD-
Almancilense0
Olhanense2
FC Pampilhosa1
Mafra0
Amiense0
Portimonense1
Aves1
AD Limianos0
TBD-
Moreirense-
Sertanense3
Minas de Argozelo1
TBD-
U. Madeira-
Cova De Piedade2
Lusitano VRSA1
Covilha2
Alcanenense3
Mosteirense2
Sporting Ideal0
TBD-
Nacional-
Boavista-
TBD-
FC Crato0
GS Loures2
SC Salgueiros2
Aguias do Moradal1
FC Amares1
Operario2
Trofense3
Atletico CP2
Pedras Rubras0
Santa Clara1
Sanjoanense3
1º Dezembro2
TBD-
Academica-
Feirense2
SC Sabugal0
Castrense0
Famalicao5
SC Praiense4
CDC Montalegre0
Sacavenense0
Malveira3
SC Angrense2
Moura AC1
Vitorino de Piaes0
Torre De Moncorvo1
Varzim2
Maria de Fonte0
TBD-
FC Porto-
Braga-
TBD-
Agueda0
Academico Viseu2
Rio Tinto2
Mortagua FC1
Oliveira Hospital3
SC Farense4
Benfica-
TBD-
Bustelo2
SC Vianense3
Vilafranquense8
Manteigas1
TBD-
Sporting CP-
Amarante FC8
Sao Roque0
Lusitano FCV1
GD Braganca4
Lusitania FC2
Estarreja1
TBD-
Maritimo-
Chaves1
Leiria0
Freamunde1
Louletano2
Leixoes2
Pinhalnovense0
TBD-
Arouca-
Rio Ave-
TBD-
Camacha1
Uniao3
Naval2
Viana Alentejo1
TBD-
Pacos Ferreira-
Casa Pia5
Alcobaca0
Real SC1
Oriental3
GD Coruchense1
Oliveirense0
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
Penafiel3
Lagoa0
TBD-
Vitoria Guimaraes-
Coimbroes1
Oliveira de Frades0
Gafanha1
AD Fafe2
Caldas SC2
Tirsense1
GD Alcochetense0
Atletico Arcos2
Gondomar3
Anadia1
TBD-
Estoril-
1/32-finals
Gil Vicente2
Tondela1
Leiria e Marrazes1
SB Castelo Branco5
BSAD1
Olhanense0
FC Pampilhosa0
Portimonense5
Aves3
Moreirense2
Sertanense1
U. Madeira5
Cova De Piedade4
Alcanenense3
Mosteirense0
Nacional6
Boavista2
GS Loures1
SC Salgueiros0
Operario1
Trofense1
Santa Clara0
Sanjoanense1
Academica5
Feirense2
Famalicao1
SC Praiense0
Malveira3
SC Angrense4
Torre De Moncorvo1
Varzim0
FC Porto2
Braga3
Academico Viseu0
Rio Tinto0
SC Farense1
Benfica2
SC Vianense1
Vilafranquense0
Sporting CP4
Amarante FC3
GD Braganca2
Lusitania FC0
Maritimo2
Chaves5
Louletano0
Leixoes1
Arouca2
Rio Ave3
Uniao0
Naval1
Pacos Ferreira7
Casa Pia3
Oriental1
GD Coruchense0
Vitoria Setubal2
Penafiel2
Vitoria Guimaraes0
Coimbroes2
AD Fafe3
Caldas SC3
Atletico Arcos0
Gondomar0
Estoril1
1/16-finals
Gil Vicente3
SB Castelo Branco1
BSAD2
Portimonense3
Aves4
U. Madeira3
Cova De Piedade0
Nacional5
Boavista1
Operario0
Trofense0
Academica1
Feirense1
Malveira0
SC Angrense0
FC Porto2
Braga1
SC Farense0
Benfica1
Sporting CP2
Amarante FC1
Maritimo0
Chaves0
Arouca1
Rio Ave2
Pacos Ferreira1
Casa Pia0
Vitoria Setubal1
Penafiel2
AD Fafe1
Caldas SC0
Estoril1
1/8-finals
Gil Vicente2
Portimonense1
Aves2
Nacional3
Boavista1
Academica0
Feirense0
FC Porto1
Braga4
Sporting CP3
Amarante FC1
Arouca2
Rio Ave2
Vitoria Setubal1
Penafiel0
Estoril1
Quarter-finals
Gil Vicente1
Nacional0
Boavista0
FC Porto1
Braga2
Arouca0
Rio Ave3
Estoril0
Semi-finals
Gil Vicente0
FC Porto5
Braga1
Rio Ave0
Final
FC Porto2
Braga3