Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Atletico Balboa

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Diaz M.
45' Event
Ayala S.
45' Event
Martinez O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Aguila and Atletico Balboa finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Balboa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Aguila
20%
Draws
17%
Atletico Balboa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Balboa haven't matched Aguila's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Aguila taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Balboa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Atletico Balboa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.6 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Atletico Balboa
2:4
Apr 21, 2011 Primera Division
Aguila vs Atletico Balboa
3:0
Mar 6, 2011 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Aguila
0:4
Nov 21, 2010 Primera Division
Aguila vs Atletico Balboa
2:0
Sep 19, 2010 Primera Division
Atletico Balboa vs Aguila
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayala S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Atletico Balboa Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 86 / 100
Atletico Balboa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Atletico Balboa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Aguila went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguila's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Balboa has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Atletico Balboa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Balboa

(Away)
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
12 Sept
Atletico Balboa
3 : 1
Platense Municipal
09 Sept
Inca Aruba
1 : 0
Atletico Balboa
06 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
30 Aug
Alianza FC
2 : 0
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 10 6 2 2 18:9 20
2 Inter Santa Tecla 11 5 5 1 16:8 20
3 Metapan 11 6 2 3 15:10 20
4 Luis Angel Firpo 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
5 Municipal Limeno 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Aguila 11 3 5 3 16:14 14
7 Alianza FC 9 3 4 2 14:13 13
8 Atletico Balboa 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
9 Platense Municipal 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
10 Inca Aruba 11 3 2 6 8:20 11
11 Cacahuatique 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
12 Fuerte San Francisco 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)