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Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Martinez C.
45' Event
Andrada F.
48' Event
Andrada F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Aguila and Fuerte San Francisco finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Aguila
30%
Draws
14%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Fuerte San Francisco haven't matched Aguila's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Aguila taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
4:1
Apr 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa Presidente
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Aguila
2:3
Oct 29, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Fuerte San Francisco
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lovo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 77 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Fuerte San Francisco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fuerte San Francisco let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Aguila found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Aguila has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Fuerte San Francisco
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Fuerte San Francisco

(Away)
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 12 7 3 2 22:11 24
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)