Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Diaz N.
74' Event
Andrada F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aguila
30%
Draws
19%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Aguila and Luis Angel Firpo on recent form.
  • Win probability leans Aguila's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.55
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:1
May 17, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
0:2
May 13, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
May 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 68 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aguila remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aguila found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Luis Angel Firpo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Luis Angel Firpo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 7

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 12 7 2 3 17:10 23
2 Luis Angel Firpo 11 6 3 2 18:7 21
3 Inter Santa Tecla 12 5 6 1 17:9 21
4 FAS 10 6 2 2 18:9 20
5 Municipal Limeno 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Aguila 12 3 5 4 16:16 14
7 Alianza FC 9 3 4 2 14:13 13
8 Atletico Balboa 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
9 Platense Municipal 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
10 Inca Aruba 11 3 2 6 8:20 11
11 Cacahuatique 12 1 5 6 11:20 8
12 Fuerte San Francisco 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)