Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Pasaquina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Acosta W.
40' Event
Quinones J.
49' Event
Verges J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2018/2019 game between Aguila and Pasaquina finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Aguila
15%
Draws
17%
Pasaquina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Aguila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aguila's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Pasaquina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Pasaquina
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 25 7
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Aguila
0:2
Mar 3, 2019 Primera Division
Aguila vs Pasaquina
4:1
Nov 22, 2018 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Aguila
2:2
Sep 15, 2018 Primera Division
Aguila vs Pasaquina
3:1
Apr 28, 2018 Primera Division
Pasaquina vs Aguila
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verges J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pasaquina Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinones J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 95 / 100
Pasaquina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Pasaquina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pasaquina conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Aguila scored in 75% of their last 48 games.

Aguila went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 10

Pasaquina

(Away)
12 May
Alianza FC
2 : 0
Pasaquina
10 May
Pasaquina
0 : 3
Alianza FC
05 May
Audaz
2 : 3
Pasaquina
27 Apr
Pasaquina
0 : 2
Aguila
24 Apr
FAS
1 : 0
Pasaquina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 15 4 3 49:16 49
2 Aguila 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Metapan 22 9 7 6 30:23 34
4 Municipal Limeno 22 10 8 4 23:17 32
5 Chalatenango 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
6 Santa Tecla 22 7 9 6 29:30 30
7 FAS 22 7 8 7 21:19 29
8 Pasaquina 22 6 8 8 23:31 20
9 Audaz 22 5 4 13 20:31 19
10 Luis Angel Firpo 22 4 7 11 16:31 19
11 CD Sonsonate 22 4 6 12 26:39 18
12 Jocoro 22 4 8 10 16:26 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)